Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.007315 0.008547 0.010012 0.011907 0.014332 0.017388 0.021622
2025-06-29 0.005706 0.007176 0.009121 0.011972 0.016209 0.022574 0.033551
2025-07-06 0.004928 0.006514 0.008773 0.012401 0.018461 0.029042 0.051506
2025-07-13 0.004504 0.006200 0.008773 0.013248 0.021578 0.038472 0.083689
2025-07-20 0.004101 0.005825 0.008569 0.013660 0.024052 0.048207 0.130191
2025-07-27 0.003725 0.005420 0.008223 0.013703 0.025794 0.057566 0.194727
2025-08-03 0.003428 0.005095 0.007946 0.013792 0.027670 0.068905 0.302861
2025-08-10 0.003116 0.004701 0.007480 0.013381 0.028190 0.076750 0.430234
2025-08-17 0.002811 0.004287 0.006916 0.012641 0.027601 0.080446 0.555439
2025-08-24 0.002568 0.003954 0.006463 0.012057 0.027255 0.085087 0.742570
2025-08-31 0.002448 0.003826 0.006385 0.012304 0.029436 0.103457 1.455962
2025-09-07 0.002290 0.003615 0.006115 0.012046 0.029972 0.114901 2.490487
2025-09-14 0.002090 0.003324 0.005681 0.011378 0.029191 0.120111 3.983812
2025-09-21 0.001977 0.003186 0.005546 0.011451 0.031107 0.147147 15.713631
2025-09-28 0.001904 0.003114 0.005538 0.011855 0.034547 0.196945 1246.310898
2025-10-05 0.001865 0.003104 0.005660 0.012650 0.040253 0.298100 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001800 0.003034 0.005640 0.013037 0.044569 0.420414 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001718 0.002925 0.005515 0.013077 0.047298 0.551459 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001647 0.002830 0.005410 0.013160 0.050443 0.749751 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001556 0.002687 0.005178 0.012774 0.050615 0.875863 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001456 0.002520 0.004869 0.012080 0.048493 0.893602 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001371 0.002379 0.004615 0.011531 0.047082 0.944039 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001332 0.002333 0.004588 0.011764 0.051129 1.443507 NaN